GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gloucester CityPoole Town
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.32xG1.54
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