GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Poole Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Poole Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Poole Town hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Poole Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Poole Town

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Poole Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Poole TownWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityPoole Town
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power53.0
1.32xG1.54
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