GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/26/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWLWWD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityMerthyr Town
33.3Attack67.5
33.3Defence53.2
0.0Form53.2
26.7Power57.2
1.30xG2.22
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