GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/18/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLDWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarlowLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityMarlow
33.3Attack35.7
33.3Defence8.7
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power23.7
2.55xG1.07
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