GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/12/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Havant & Wville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Havant & WvilleDLWWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityHavant & Wville
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power18.3
1.68xG1.35
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