Gloucester Cityvs
Evesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gloucester City 1-2 Evesham United
Original prediction
Gloucester City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.2% | 51.3% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.0% | 22.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 6.10 | 14.8% | 26.3% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Gloucester City
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60