GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/5/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dorchester TownDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gloucester CityDorchester Town
33.3Attack52.4
33.3Defence38.9
0.0Form47.6
26.7Power48.3
1.73xG1.69
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