GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bishop's Stortford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 23.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the National League - North, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLDDDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Bishop's StortfordWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gloucester CityBishop's Stortford
35.5Attack25.4
35.5Defence18.8
26.1Form15.2
34.5Power23.3
1.85xG0.90
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