GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/2/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gloucester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gloucester CityLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Basingstoke TownDDLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gloucester CityBasingstoke Town
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power21.5
1.77xG1.49
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