Gloria Bistriţavs
Popești-Leordeni
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloria Bistriţa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gloria Bistriţa 2-3 Popești-Leordeni
Original prediction
Gloria Bistriţa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.1% | 42.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.9% | 30.2% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Gloria Bistriţa
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Gloria Bistriţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60