Gloria Bistriţavs
Dumbrăviţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloria Bistriţa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gloria Bistriţa 2-0 Dumbrăviţa, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gloria Bistriţa 2-1 Dumbrăviţa
Original prediction
Gloria Bistriţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.7% | 73.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.5% | 17.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 7.70 | 11.8% | 9.0% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Gloria Bistriţa 2–0 Dumbrăviţa
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Gloria Bistriţa
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Gloria Bistriţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00