Gloria Bistriţavs
CSM Satu Mare
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloria Bistriţa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gloria Bistriţa 1-0 CSM Satu Mare
Original prediction
Gloria Bistriţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.8% | 49.0% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 27.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 17.8% | 23.6% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Gloria Bistriţa
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Gloria Bistriţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00