Gloria Bistriţavs
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloria Bistriţa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gloria Bistriţa 1-0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Original prediction
Gloria Bistriţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.3% | 53.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 24.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 19.8% | 22.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Gloria Bistriţa
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Gloria Bistriţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20