UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Glentoran

Glentoran

Home
LL
12
Full time
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Away
WW
The BetMcLean Oval
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Rīgas FS(44%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Rīgas FS
Win probability
Glentoran
33%
Draw
23%
Rīgas FS
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Glentoran
18
Rīgas FS
73
Defence
Glentoran
27
Rīgas FS
82
Momentum
Glentoran
0
Rīgas FS
100
Danger (xG)
Glentoran
0.45
Rīgas FS
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Glentoran)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Rīgas FS)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Glentoran)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Rīgas FS)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GlentoranGlentoran
LL
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
WWWWW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Glentoran33%
Draw23%
Rīgas FS44%

Rīgas FS leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Glentoran head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at The BetMcLean Oval in mixed form (LL), while Rīgas FS arrive in decent form (WW). Glentoran have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Rīgas FS over 2 games.

Tactically, Rīgas FS hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Glentoran defence (27/100), while Glentoran's attack faces a watertight Rīgas FS backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Glentoran have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Rīgas FS have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Rīgas FS have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Rīgas FS to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Glentoran 3300%, Draw 2330%, Rīgas FS 4370%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Glentoran 0Draws 02 Rīgas FS
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
Glentoran
L02
Rīgas FS
9 Jul 2026
Glentoran
L12
Rīgas FS

Recent form

Glentoran

Glentoran

L
@ Rīgas FS
16 Jul 2026
02
L
vs Rīgas FS
9 Jul 2026
12
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

W
vs Glentoran
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Glentoran
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
30 Jun 2026
31
W
@ FK Liepaja
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Ogre United
22 Jun 2026
60

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Glentoran vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts Rīgas FS to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Glentoran vs Rīgas FS?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Glentoran vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Glentoran vs Rīgas FS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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