Glentoranvs
Limavady United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Glentoran 1-0 Limavady United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Glentoran 1-0 Limavady United
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.5% | 65.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.4% | 21.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 7.49 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Projected Score
Glentoran 1–0 Limavady United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40