Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Glentoran are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Larne are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Glentoran hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Premiership, while Glentoran holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80