Glentoranvs
Dungannon Swifts
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Glentoran 0-0 Dungannon Swifts, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Glentoran 2-0 Dungannon Swifts
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.3% | 43.3% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.5% | 28.7% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.3% | 28.0% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Projected Score
Glentoran 0–0 Dungannon Swifts
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00