Glentoranvs
Crusaders FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Glentoran 1-2 Crusaders FC
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.3% | 51.1% | -23.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.82 | 15.6% | 23.7% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 9.04 | 10.1% | 25.2% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20