Glentoranvs
Coleraine FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Glentoran 1-2 Coleraine FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.0% | 25.5% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.4% | 24.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.6% | 49.9% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60