Glentoranvs
Carrick Rangers
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Glentoran 2-0 Carrick Rangers
Original prediction
Glentoran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 46.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 25.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.6% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00