GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glenorchy Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ulverstone are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Glenorchy Knights hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Tasmania NPL, while Glenorchy Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glenorchy Knights

Probability

73.5%

Model confidence

9.0%

Glenorchy Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy KnightsLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UlverstoneLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsUlverstone
42.6Attack27.8
38.9Defence0.0
31.5Form7.4
39.0Power15.3
3.01xG1.07
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