Glenorchy Knightsvs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glenorchy Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Glenorchy Knights are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ulverstone are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Glenorchy Knights hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Tasmania NPL, while Glenorchy Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Glenorchy Knights
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
9.0%
Glenorchy Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80