Glenorchy Knightsvs
Riverside
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 6/13/2026, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riverside are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riverside
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
8.7%
Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60