GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 6/13/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riverside are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

8.7%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy KnightsLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RiversideLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy KnightsRiverside
42.6Attack57.4
38.9Defence38.9
31.5Form44.4
39.0Power46.3
1.76xG2.12
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