GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/29/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Taroona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

7.4%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights U21LWLLL

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaWLLWW

GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Glenorchy Knights U21Taroona
72.5Attack100.0
0.0Defence51.0
21.6Form58.8
26.8Power63.0
2.24xG4.50
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