GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/28/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 4.60 scored and 4.60 conceded, while South Hobart II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 4.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 46.2-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

7.6%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights U21WDLLL

GF 23 · GA 23 · avg 4.60/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South Hobart IIWLWLD

GF 21 · GA 19 · avg 4.20/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Glenorchy Knights U21South Hobart II
72.5Attack100.0
0.0Defence56.3
21.6Form79.2
26.8Power73.0
1.94xG4.50
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