GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/1/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 5.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while New Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

76.4%

Model confidence

76.4%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights U21LLLWD

GF 25 · GA 16 · avg 5.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
New TownDWDWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy Knights U21New Town
72.5Attack100.0
0.0Defence64.6
21.6Form66.7
26.8Power71.0
1.58xG4.50
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