GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/7/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 5.40 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and hobart Utd. hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely result in the Tasmania Southern Championship, favouring a draw with 7.1% confidence, a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

21.9%

Model confidence

7.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights IIWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 27 · avg 0.60/5.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart Utd.LLDDL

GF 9 · GA 21 · avg 1.80/4.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy Knights IIHobart Utd.
77.1Attack75.0
0.0Defence0.0
22.9Form31.3
28.4Power31.3
4.50xG4.34
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