GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/5/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glenorchy Knights U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4

Highconfidence

Glenorchy Knights U21 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart Utd. hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Glenorchy Knights U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glenorchy Knights U21

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Glenorchy Knights U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights U21LL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.50/5.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Hobart Utd.LW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Glenorchy Knights U21Hobart Utd.
72.5Attack75.0
0.0Defence0.0
21.6Form31.3
26.8Power31.3
4.50xG4.36
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