GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/13/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Glenorchy Knights U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 8.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (26.8 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

6.9%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenorchy Knights U21LLLLL

GF 7 · GA 40 · avg 1.40/8.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityLWLDL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Glenorchy Knights U21Hobart City
72.5Attack88.9
0.0Defence40.0
21.6Form57.8
26.8Power61.1
2.75xG4.50
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