Glenavon FCvs
Loughgall
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glenavon FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Glenavon FC 4-1 Loughgall
Original prediction
Glenavon FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.6% | 52.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 24.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.2% | 23.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Glenavon FC
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Glenavon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20