GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Glenavon FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Glentoran are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Glentoran hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Premiership, while Glentoran holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Glentoran

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Glenavon FCWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GlentoranWDLDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Glenavon FCGlentoran
39.5Attack50.0
38.6Defence66.7
32.5Form50.0
38.4Power56.2
1.09xG1.72
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