Gleisdorf 09vs
SV Lafnitz
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gleisdorf 09 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gleisdorf 09 1-3 SV Lafnitz
Original prediction
Gleisdorf 09
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 38.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 25.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.0% | 35.8% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gleisdorf 09
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Gleisdorf 09 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40