Gölcüksporvs
Galata
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gölcükspor 1-1 Galata
Original prediction
Galata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.8% | 30.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 30.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.0% | 38.8% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Galata
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Galata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GölcüksporWLLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GalataDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GölcüksporGalata
33.3Attack46.7
53.3Defence80.0
26.7Form60.0
39.6Power63.7
0.81xG1.24