GKS Katowicevs
Wieczysta Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GKS Katowice 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków
Original prediction
GKS Katowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.5% | 61.9% | 16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.6% | 18.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.9% | 20.0% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
GKS Katowice
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60