GKS Katowicevs
Pogon Szczecin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GKS Katowice 0-1 Pogon Szczecin
Original prediction
GKS Katowice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.9% | 38.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.3% | 24.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.8% | 37.2% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
GKS Katowice
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60