GKS Katowicevs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/19/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GKS Katowice · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GKS Katowice 3-2 Cracovia Krakow
Original prediction
GKS Katowice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.9% | 43.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.6% | 27.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.6% | 29.4% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
GKS Katowice
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
GKS Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80