Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prishtina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gjilani 1-2 Prishtina
Original prediction
Prishtina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.3% | 30.0% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 27.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.0% | 42.7% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Prishtina
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Prishtina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GjilaniDWLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PrishtinaWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GjilaniPrishtina
50.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence80.0
61.1Form100.0
60.8Power93.0
0.99xG1.38