Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gjilani are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Prishtina are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Prishtina hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40