Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gjilani · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Gjilani 2-0 Llapi, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gjilani 1-1 Llapi
Original prediction
Gjilani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 07:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.6% | 66.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.4% | 19.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.39 | 14.1% | 13.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Projected Score
Gjilani 2–0 Llapi
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Gjilani
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Gjilani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GjilaniWWLWL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LlapiLDLWL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GjilaniLlapi
46.7Attack30.0
70.0Defence20.0
56.7Form13.3
58.8Power23.3
2.46xG0.44