Gjilanivs
Drenica Skënderaj
COMPLETEDKosovo · Superliga · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gjilani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gjilani 3-0 Drenica Skënderaj
Original prediction
Gjilani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 39.9% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 29.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.4% | 30.9% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Gjilani
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Gjilani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60