Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Giugliano are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sorrento are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Giugliano hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Serie C - Girone C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00