Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabadell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Girona are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sabadell are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sabadell hold a 46.4-point power-rating edge (34.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sabadell holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sabadell
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Sabadell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80