Gironavs
Las Palmas
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/29/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Girona · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Girona 5-2 Las Palmas
Original prediction
Girona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.5% | 37.5% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.6% | 29.4% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.9% | 33.1% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Girona
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Girona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GironaLDDDL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Las PalmasWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GironaLas Palmas
50.0Attack43.9
50.0Defence68.2
50.0Form56.1
50.0Power57.3
0.91xG1.11