Gironavs
FC Andorra
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Girona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Girona 2-0 FC Andorra
Original prediction
Girona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 53.3% | 61.0% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 25.0% | 21.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.6% | 17.6% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Girona
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Girona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GironaDDWWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC AndorraWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GironaFC Andorra
55.6Attack48.1
66.7Defence44.4
55.6Form37.0
60.1Power44.2
2.00xG0.87