Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202619:00Updated today
Girona

Girona

Home
D
vs
19:00
Arsenal

Arsenal

Away
D
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arsenal33%
Girona33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Girona
33%
Draw
33%
Arsenal
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Girona
34
Arsenal
34
Defence
Girona
66
Arsenal
66
Momentum
Girona
33
Arsenal
33
Danger (xG)
Girona
0.90
Arsenal
0.51
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Girona)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Arsenal)
0.51
avg per match
xG against (Girona)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Arsenal)
1.72
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GironaGirona
D
ArsenalArsenal
DW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Girona33%
Draw33%
Arsenal33%

Arsenal leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Girona head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in mixed form (D), while Arsenal arrive in mixed form (D). Girona have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Arsenal over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Girona (66/100) and Arsenal (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Girona have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Arsenal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Arsenal have generated 0.51 xG per game recently while conceding 1.72 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Girona and Arsenal in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Girona 3333%, Draw 3333%, Arsenal 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Girona

Girona

D
@ Rayo Vallecano
11 May 2026
11
Arsenal

Arsenal

D
@ Paris Saint Germain
30 May 2026
11
xG 0.5
W
vs Everton
22 May 2022
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Girona vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Girona vs Arsenal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Girona vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Girona vs Arsenal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more