Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GironaDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlmeriaWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GironaAlmeria
58.3Attack54.2
66.7Defence79.2
58.3Form75.0
61.8Power70.7
1.02xG1.06