Girona IIvs
Osasuna II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osasuna II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Girona II 3-2 Osasuna II
Original prediction
Osasuna II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.8% | 32.2% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.2% | 26.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.0% | 41.0% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Osasuna II
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Osasuna II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80