Girona IIvs
Espanyol II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Girona II 1-2 Espanyol II
Original prediction
Espanyol II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.2% | 30.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 25.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 43.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60