GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 6/21/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Mediumconfidence

Ægir are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Throttur Reykjavik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Throttur Reykjavik hold a 41.7-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the 1. Deild, while Throttur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Throttur Reykjavik

Probability

86.8%

Model confidence

11.2%

Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ÆgirLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Throttur ReykjavikWWWLL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÆgirThrottur Reykjavik
38.9Attack70.4
11.1Defence64.8
14.8Form63.0
24.2Power65.9
0.80xG3.94
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