1. Deild1. Deild
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Ægir

Ægir

Home
L
24
Full time
Fylkir

Fylkir

Away
D
GeoSalmo vollurinn
GoalVio prediction
54% confidence
Fylkir(54%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Fylkir
Win probability
Ægir
23%
Draw
23%
Fylkir
54%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ægir
73
Fylkir
34
Defence
Ægir
1
Fylkir
66
Momentum
Ægir
0
Fylkir
33
Danger (xG)
Ægir
1.80
Fylkir
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Ægir)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Fylkir)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ægir)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Fylkir)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ÆgirÆgir
LLDLW
FylkirFylkir
WWWLD

Probability breakdown

54% confidence
Ægir23%
Draw23%
Fylkir54%

Fylkir leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ægir head into this in 1. Deild fixture at GeoSalmo vollurinn in mixed form (L), while Fylkir arrive in mixed form (D). Ægir have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Fylkir over 1 games.

The model rates Ægir's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Fylkir defence, and Fylkir's attack at 34/100 against a 1/100 Ægir backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Ægir have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Fylkir have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Fylkir have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Fylkir to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Ægir 2320%, Draw 2270%, Fylkir 5410%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Ægir 0Draws 01 Fylkir
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Ægir
L24
Fylkir

Recent form

Ægir

Ægir

L
vs Fylkir
3 Jul 2026
24
L
@ Afturelding
29 Jun 2026
18
D
@ Grindavik
26 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Vestri
17 May 2026
12
W
@ KA Akureyri
14 May 2026
21
Fylkir

Fylkir

W
vs Njardvik
17 Jul 2026
41
W
@ Vestri
13 Jul 2026
52
W
@ Ægir
3 Jul 2026
42
L
vs HK Kopavogur
26 Jun 2026
02
D
vs Afturelding
24 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ægir vs Fylkir?

GoalVio's model predicts Fylkir to win with 54% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ægir vs Fylkir?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Ægir vs Fylkir?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ægir vs Fylkir?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more