Gintra-Universitetas Wvs
Sturm Graz W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gintra-Universitetas W 3-5 Sturm Graz W
Original prediction
Sturm Graz W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.8% | 35.0% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 28.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 36.4% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz W
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Sturm Graz W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60